Polls are consistently pointing toward the Democrats being trounced in November elections. More than that, however, the anti-big-government mood of the people is palpable despite all efforts by the lamestream media to cover a once-simmering and now boiling-over pot of citizen anger.

Let’s look at the mounting pile of evidence, starting with some poll numbers:

First, for only the third time in almost 50 years, Republicans lead the generic preference polling done by Gallup, with a 4% margin (48% - 44%):

As Gallup notes, 1994 was an enormous electoral year for Republicans and 2002 represented one of the few times that the party which held the White House (Republicans and Bush) gained seats during a mid-term election.

Rasmussen has an even wider lead for Republicans because they poll likely voters rather than all adults, whom Gallup questions.  The question of who is likely to vote leads to the question of voter enthusiasm, another huge problem for the Democrats:

According to Gallup, Republican enthusiasm to get out and vote is an astonishing 18% higher than among Democrats.  Enthusiasm is a critical predictor of likely election results.

Two days ago, Gallup reported that Obama’s weekly job approval was at 47%, the lowest of his presidency:

As of yesterday (4/13), his daily job approval number was even worse, at a new-low 45%:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

The distaste for Democrats and Obama is being fueled by Obamacare which, strangely, Nancy Pelosi seemed to think Americans would like better as they got to understand it.

Instead, Rasmussen Reports shows that 47% of voters believe the repeal of Obamacare would be good for the economy, with only 33% saying it would be bad for the economy.  This translates directly into similar results that support (among likely voters) for repealing Obamacare has reached a new high at 58%, with support for keeing Obamacare at a new low at 38%.

In another Rasmussen poll, 2/3 of respondents said that Americans are overtaxed, hardly a good sign for the party whose only answer to budget deficits is higher taxes to fund ever-higher spending.

In political betting at InTrade.com, Democrats are 55% to still have the majority in the House after the next election, having given up almost all of the brief gain after the passage of Obamacare.  Betting on the Dem’s prospects to keep the Senate shows more dramatic improvement, standing around 77%, up from the low-60’s a few weeks ago. And Democrats are trading about 59% to keep the White House in 2012, only a few points off its low and hardly an impressive number for an incumbent president elected less than a year and a half ago to such “hope".

I think that given the odds, the GOP is a good bet in each of these cases.  Indeed, I have bet on the GOP taking back the House and the Senate because I like the odds. I’m not betting on 2012 because I don’t want to tie up money for so long.

Obama, Pelosi, and Reid bet far too much on far too weak a hand.  They bluffed Democrats in the House into supporting a bill on the argument that passing something would be better than passing nothing.  That will turn out to be a disastrous calculation for many “Blue Dogs” and, in my view, stands a strong chance of costing Pelosi her gavel in less than a year and Obama his office two years later.